In the second round of the presidential elections in Poland, public television TVP and commercial stations TVN and Polsat will be using predictions from exit polls backed with telephone opinion surveys, in an attempt to improve results on July 4.

Opinion pollsters from TNS OBOP as well as SMG/KRC have said they will be using exit polls, while Homo Homini will stay with asking respondents over the phone to bring results at the stroke of 02.00 CET when polling stations close for the second round of presidential elections.

The move comes after the first round of elections in Poland, pollsters found a gap which spanned from 5 and 12 percentage points between the two top candidates Bronisław Komorowski and Jarosław Kaczyński.

The closest results were given by TNS OBOP used by TVP public television.

The companies later argued that the main cause of the false predictions lay in the adopted methodology and because a large group of persons had refused to answer.

In the second round, TNS OBOP will again be asking 50,000 voters directly at 500 randomly chosen polling stations. They will be asked to fill in questionnaires with their sex, age and education and the name of their candidate, and then drop the completed questionnaires into special boxes.

Commercial television station TVN will again use Millward Brown SMG/KRC but this time the research company will also resort to exit polls instead of telephoning, after their spectacular gafs in the first round of the elections. (ek/pg)

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