UPDATE  - In the final opinion poll by the Homo Homini institute for Polish Radio before Sunday’s ballot, 53.9 percent of respondents say they will be voting for Bronislaw Komorowski in the presidential election second round, to Jarolsaw Kaczynski’s 42 percent.

Another poll published late last night, however, puts both candidates neck-and-neck in terms of percentage of support.

Just over four percent Homo Homini that they had yet to make up their minds as to how to vote on July 4.

Fifty six percent of those asked declared they will be voting.

If the results of the opinion poll were replicated in the election second round on Sunday then Bronislaw Komorowski will be elected as Poland’s fourth president since the fall of communism in 1989, succeeding Lech Walesa, Aleksander Kwasniewski and the late Lech Kaczynski.

Marcin Duma from the Homo Homini institute notes, however, that support for Kaczynski, the Law and Justice candidate, has increased since Wednesday's presidential TV debate and may have momentum in the final days of campaigning. If so the actual result at the weekend could be close.

The survey was conducted on July 1 from a sample of 1203 adults via telephone. Margin of error is 3 per cent with a 95 -percent confidence threshold.

Too close to call?

On Thursday evening, however, the Rzeczpospolita daily published a survey by GfK Polonia pollsters showing Kaczynski and Komorowski each had the definite support of 45 percent of Poles. With statistical weighting of those ten percent who declared themselves unincluded in the analysis - the majority of which say they may vote Kaczynski - Rzeczpospolita concludes that the Law and Justice candidate could be leading with 49 to 47 percent of the vote.

Opinion polls came in for heavy criticism after the first round of elections two weeks ago for underestimating support for Jaroslaw Kaczynski.