If Wlodzimierz Cimoszewicz decides to run for presidency, he will have high chances to win, even if Civic Platform chooses Bronislaw Komorowski as its candidate, shows a survey by the Homo Homini Institute.

Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s decision not to take part in the presidential race has significantly boosted Wlodzimierz Cimoszewicz’s chances to win.

Although the former PM and Foreign Minister announced that he has no intentions to run for the presidency, he has also mentioned that such a scenario would be possible in case the incumbent President Lech Kaczynski had realistic chances to be re-elected.

Now that both Civic Platform’s candidates - the Speaker of the Parliament Bronislaw Komorowski and the Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski - seem to enjoy weaker support than Donald Tusk, Cimoszewicz may change his mind.

According to a survey by the Homo Homini Institute, if Wlodzimierz Cimoszewicz competed with Radoslaw Sikorski in the first round of the presidential elections, he would win, but it would be a narrow victory – 27.5 percent to 25.5 percent. Lech Kaczynski would gain only 19 percent and would not make it to the second round of elections.

If Civic Platform decides to choose Bronislaw Komorowski as its candidate, Cimoszewicz has even more chances to win, gaining 34 percent of votes in the first round. In the second round he would face President Kaczynski, who is likely to round up 18 percent of votes. Bronislaw Komorowski would most probably lose the race with 17-percent support, the poll shows.

Meanwhile, Civic Platform is still wondering who to choose for its candidate and it seems that the party’s authorities are in favour of the Speaker of the Parliament Bronislaw Komorowski.

Last week, PM Donald Tusk assessed that both potential candidates had a fifty-fifty chance to become Civic Platform’s face in this year’s presidential elections. However, Civic Platform’s MPs claim that Komorowski is more popular within the party than Sikorski. (mg/jb)

Source: Dziennik Gazeta Prawna, Gazeta Wyborcza