A new poll released Monday morning shows acting president Bronislaw Komorowski with 53 percent support nationwide, enough to give him an outright win in the first round of elections on June 20.

The poll published in Gazeta Wyborcza finds that Komorowski, the candidate for the ruling Civic Platform party increased his support last week by four percent. His nearest challenger, Jaroslaw Kaczynski remains on 31 percent.

If Komorowski gets an outright majority of more than 50 percent of the popular vote in the first round of elections then he would automatically be elected to the Presidential Palace, without the need for a second round, head-to-head run off on July 4.

Observers point to Komorowski’s high profile during a week where floods have killed 13 in Poland and thousands have had to be evacuated in the south and centre of the country. The low profile of Jaroslaw Kaczynski, on the other hand - a deliberate tactic by his campaign team - has not seemed to have helped his challenge.

The elections increasingly look like a two-horse race, with all eight other candidates only mustering 16 percent support between them. In third place is currently the Democratic Left Alliance candidate on six percent.

The poll was taken by PBS DGA pollsters via telephone from a sample of 1000.

Meanwhile, the opposition Law and Justice party is just four percentage points behind the ruling Civic Platform, finds a new opinion poll by the Homo Homini institute for Polish Radio.

If parliamentary elections were held today Civic Platform would receive 37.7 percent of the vote - down to Law and Justice’s 33.8 percent. (pg)

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