• Exit polls: Komorowski wins Poland’s presidential election
  • 04.07.2010

 

Bronislaw Komorowski

Exit polls are suggesting that Bronislaw Komorowski has won Poland’s presidential election second round.

 

As polling stations closed on the stroke of 20.00 CET, an exit poll by TNS OBOP (for TVP public television) found that Bronislaw Komorowski has 53.1 percent to Jaroslaw Kaczynski’s 46.9 percent.

 

A poll for SMG/KRC (for the private TVN television) however, found Komorowski has a narrower lead, 51.9 to 48.9 percent. Turnout was 52 percent.

 

These are exit polls, however, and official results will emerge throughout the night. Stay with us for all the latest.

 

Refresh the page or press f5 for regular updates. Feel free to add comments. Reporting by John Beauchamp and Peter Gentle.

 

 

01.29 - Updating is finished for the night. Thanks for coming along and keep checking out the web site on Monday for results and reaction to Sunday’s election.

 

1.15 - Oficial results! With 80,39 percent of votes counted in Poland’s presidential election second round, Bronislaw Komorowski has 51.3 support and Jaroslaw Kaczynski 48.7.

 

00.30 - Oficial results! With 51 percent of votes counted in Poland’s presidential election second round, Jaroslaw Kaczynski has 50.41 of support and Bronislaw Komorowski 49.59

 

00.01 - Political scientist Rafał Chwedoruk, however, has told Polish Radio that the two elections, a fortnight apart, could be claimed to be a success for three parties. Civic Platform can claim the presidency; Kaczynski’s Law and Justice can point to a narrow defeat; and left wing candidate Grzegorz Napieralski (SLD) can also claim success with 14 percent of support in the first round.

 

23.50 - Sociologist Henryk Domański has told Polish Radio that Komorowski’s victory means his Civic Platform party has no one to blame now and must take full responsibility for governance, being in both government and presidential palace. At the same time, Kaczynski’s Law and Justice party can point to his better than expected showing in the election today and is in a good position for local elections later this year and possibly the general election next year as well.

 

23.19 - “From today Civic Platform has 100 percent power and responsibility,” former president Aleksander Kwasniewski said earlier this evening. According to the former leftist head of state, Kaczynski and Napieralski also are winners in this election. However, the real test for Komorowski and Civic Platform “starts today.”

 

23.15 - Voter turnout was officially 54.59 percent from one-in-five votes counted.

 

23.04 - Oficial results! With 20 percent of votes counted in Poland’s presidential election second round, Bronislaw Komorowski has 50.6 of support and Jaroslaw Kaczynski 49.4.  That's too close to call.

 

22.58 - Jaroslaw Kaczynski’s success in these elections will be a good “starting point for the general elections” next year, Professor Henryk Domanski has said, confirming Law and Justice campaign leader Joanna Kluzik-Rostkowska’s comments after the exit polls were released earlier.

 

22.36 - According to the exit poll by TNS OBOP, Bronislaw Komorowski won in ten provinces in Poland to Jaroslaw Kaczynski’s six. Komorowski won a majority of votes in the west and north of the country, while Kaczynski triumphed in the south and east.

 

22.31 - Opinion pollsters SMG KRC have just released data taken later than the original exit poll. Now they are saying Bronislaw Komorowski is on 52.8 percent support, while Jaroslaw Kaczynski is on 47.2 percent. Revised turnout is 57 percent.

 

22.09 - Elzbieta Jakubiak from Law and Justice has said that the party tried to change its style of language after the tragic crash in which Lech Kaczynski died on April 10.

 

21.58 - Sociologist Dr. Jaroslaw Flis from Krakow’s Jagiellonian University has said that even though Bronislaw Komorowski managed to achieve success judging from the polls, he did not manage to "knock-out" Jaroslaw Kaczynski in the second round.

 

21.51 - Professor Kazimierz Kik, a political scientist has said that Bronislaw Komorowski won the second round of elections thanks to the leftist vote, even though Grzegorz Napieralski did not formally back any of the candidates before the second round.

 

21.40 - Leader of the Civic Platform parliamentary club, Grzegorz Schetyna, is cautious by pronouncing a victory: "let's wait and see," adding that Civic Platform now has to decide who will take the chair as Parliamentary Speaker, the position Bronislaw Komorowski will give up if the polls are correct and he becomes president.

 

21.37 - The Polsat exit poll states that 76 percent of leftist Grzegorz Napieralski’s supporters voted for Bronislaw Komorowski in the second round. 24 percent voted for Jaroslaw Kaczynski. Voters who supported deputy PM Waldemar Pawlak from the Peasant’s Party in the first round voted mostly for Kaczynski: 57 percent to 43 percent for Komorowski.

 

21.20 - Olgierd Annusewicz, a political scientist from Warsaw University has commented on the result by saying that people believed in Jaroslaw Kaczynski’s personal “metamorphosis” after the tragic plane crash of April 10.

 

21.18 - Head of Poland’s election committee says that 20 percent of official results will be released by 23.00 CET.

 

21.13 - The exit poll for SMG / KRC says turnout was 56.9 percent.

 

20.58 - 4.2 percent of voters who voted for Bronislaw Komorowski in the first round of the ballot two weeks ago switched alliegance and voted for Jaroslaw Kaczynski in today's ballot, the TVP poll states.

 

20.57 - According to the TVP poll, 68.8 percent of voters who gave their ballot for leftist candidate Grzegorz Napieralski in the first round, voted for Bronislaw Komorowski in today's second round.

 

20.46 - Polsat news is reporting that their pollsters, Homo Homini, have revised their turnout prediction upwards to 58.5 percent.

 

20.42 - Joanna Kluzik-Rostkowska, head of Jaroslaw Kaczynski's campaign, has said that "it is a very good result, and it's a good starting point for the local government elections later this year and the general election next year." She also congratulated her opponent for Bronislaw Komorowski's campaign, Slawomir Nowak.

 

20.36 - The PAP news agency reports police have confirmed that two men have been arrested following a pepper gas attack at one of the polling stations at Warsaw Technical University. The incident happened this afternoon and the room had to be cleared and ventilated for 20 minutes before voting could resume.

 

20.35 - Donald Tusk, current PM in the Civic Platform-led government, has said that his responsibility is now "greater than ever."

 

20.30 - Jaroslaw Kaczynski has said that his brother Lech, who died in the presidential plane crash in Smolensk on April 10, died a "martyr" for Poland, adding that thanks to him, Poland has "a new quality of public life."

 

20.24 - Law and Justice candidate has thanked all those who helped him throughout the campaign, as well as congratulating his opponent, Bronislaw Komorowski.

 

20.23 - Jaroslaw Kaczynski has arrived at his election committee headquarters.

 

20.16 - "Poles need agreement, but not at any price" historian and former minister of foreign affairs Wladyslaw Bartoszewski has said at Bronislaw Komorowski's rally.

 

20.15 - Bronislaw Komorowski has thanked his supporters for their campaigning, but has warned that it is a close-run race. He also thanked Wladyslaw Bartoszewski, Lech Walesa and Tadeusz Mazowiecki for their support.

 

20.11 - An opinion poll by Homo Homini for Polsat TV shows Komorowski on 51.1 percent to Kaczynski’s 48.9. Turnout was 56 percent.

 

Thenews.pl |